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Free Football Picks, Goal Rating System and Free Bets

System-Bet.com is site dedicated to providing free football picks selected by Goal Rating System. Goal Rating System is statistical football betting system based on number of goals scored and number of goals conceded in last several games. This system is tested on huge number of football matches, and with some additional criteria and strict money management, Goal Rating System is generating steady profit over last several months, since System-Bet started with it's free service.

There is also Free Bets section on System-Bet.com where you can find latest free bets offers and bonuses from our recommended bookmakers. Our recommended bookmakers are offering over £500 in free bets, so why not take this? To read more about these fantastic free bets offers, follow this link.


Free Football Picks

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Goal Rating System

Goal Rating System is statistical football betting system based on simple fact that teams who scored more goals and conceded fewer in last several games have better chances of winning their next game.

So, the only measure in this model are number of goals scored and number of goals conceded for home and away team in a football match. 

Match rating is calculated as following:
* Home team rating = Home team goals scored - Home team goals conceded
* Away team rating = Away team goals scored - Away team goals conceded
* Match rating = Home team rating - Away team rating

With enough amount of historical data, Match rating calculated like this is used for determining fair odds (or fair probabilities) for home win, draw and away win. 

If the Match rating between two sides is equal to 0, it means we have match between two equal sides, and probability for a home win by this model is 46.5%. 

This model gives best results for match ratings between -5 and 5, while for very high and very low match ratings reliability is much lower.

Note: This football betting system, as any other betting system should be used with caution, as there are too many other factors which should be considered before placing a bet, such as team news, motivation, weather, etc.

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